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Perturbative methods for non-parametric instrumental variable

About

We introduce a perturbative approach for nonparametric instrumental variable (NPIV) estimation. By drawing inspiration from perturbation theory in physics, we extend standard kernel ridge methods with systematic higher perturbation order corrections that significantly improve estimation accuracy. Spectrally, the perturbation introduces mixing between different eigenmodes of the expectation integral operator, which becomes especially useful when the integral equation is ill-defined. One source for such ill-definedness can be the curse of dimensionality. Our method performs across various dimensionality regimes, particularly when the dimensionality parameter $\beta$ which is defined through the number of samples $n$ and dimension $d$ as $n^\beta = d$, becomes large. Experimental results show that our first-order perturbative corrections can reduce prediction error by up to 99\% in high-dimensional ill-defined cases ($\beta > 0.7$) compared to standard ridge regression approaches. The performance improvement is maintained across a wide range of dimensions, with the advantage becoming more pronounced as dimensionality increases.

Wei Bu, Arthur Gretton• 2026

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Non-parametric Instrumental Variable (NPIV) EstimationNPIV fractional Brownian kernel
RMSE0.028
12
Non-parametric Instrumental Variable (NPIV) EstimationNPIV RBF kernel
RMSE0.289
12
Non-parametric instrumental variable regressionWeak IV ρ = 0.1
RMSE0.28
6
Non-parametric instrumental variable regressionSparse d = 50
RMSE0.56
6
Non-parametric instrumental variable regressionNewey-Powell
RMSE8.718
6
Non-parametric instrumental variable regressionWeak IV ρ = 0.3
RMSE0.339
6
Non-parametric instrumental variable regressionStrong IV ρ = 0.7
RMSE0.329
6
Non-parametric instrumental variable regressionHeteroscedastic
RMSE0.724
6
Non-parametric instrumental variable regressionNonlinear IV
RMSE0.409
6
Non-parametric Instrumental Variable (NPIV) EstimationNPIV Deep IV setup--
6
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