Semi-Supervised Learning with Noisy Proxy Covariates: Generalization Bounds and Distribution Regression
About
In many modern machine learning pipelines, abundant pretrained representations serve as noisy proxy covariates, while task-specific labels remain scarce. We study semi-supervised regression in this setting, and propose a simple two stage estimator that learns kernel eigenfeatures from all proxy covariates and fits a ridge predictor on labeled data. We derive finite sample bounds showing that fast labeled sample rates are recovered when proxy perturbation is controlled and unlabeled proxy covariates are sufficiently abundant. We also show that distribution regression is a direct special case, with analogous guarantees when the finite bag size is large enough. Experiments show consistent gains over supervised and semi-supervised baselines, especially in low label regimes.
Related benchmarks
| Task | Dataset | Result | Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galaxy Cluster Mass Prediction | Galaxy Clusters | Normalized RMSE0.37 | 88 | |
| Default risk prediction | Bloomberg 40% labeled budget Korea Stock Exchange 2010-2015 | nRMSE0.06 | 11 | |
| Default risk prediction | FnGuide Korea Stock Exchange 5% labeled 2010-2015 | Normalized RMSE0.06 | 11 | |
| Default risk prediction | Bloomberg Korea Stock Exchange 2010-2015 (5% labeled budget) | Normalized RMSE0.07 | 11 | |
| Default risk prediction | FnGuide 40% labeled budget Korea Stock Exchange 2010-2015 | nRMSE0.05 | 11 |