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APIC: Amortized Physics-Informed Calibration using Neural Processes

About

Physics models are inherently imperfect due to misspecified or missing mechanisms, resulting in systematic discrepancies between model predictions and real-world observations. The Kennedy-O'Hagan (KOH) framework addresses this issue through explicit discrepancy modeling. However, its non-amortized, per-instance formulation limits scalability across families of related systems. We introduce Amortized Physics-Informed Calibration (APIC), a population-level extension of KOH that leverages Neural Processes to perform scalable Bayesian inference across realizations. Our framework employs a two-branch latent architecture to disentangle instance-specific physical parameters from shared, state-dependent structural discrepancies. By integrating differentiable physics into an amortized inference backbone, APIC enables rapid calibration of unseen realizations from sparse observations while quantifying uncertainty. Experiments on the damped spring oscillator, the Lotka-Volterra system, and the advection-diffusion PDE with misspecified physics demonstrate improved parameter recovery and consistent identification of the systemic discrepancy structure compared to other calibration approaches.

Aishwarya Venkataramanan, Sai Karthikeya Vemuri, Joachim Denzler• 2026

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Discrepancy PredictionDamped Spring System (test)
MAE0.009
6
Discrepancy PredictionLotka-Volterra ODE System
MAE3
6
Discrepancy PredictionAdvection-diffusion system
MAE0.007
6
Parameter EstimationAdvection-diffusion system
Kappa MAE0.004
6
Parameter PredictionDamped Spring System (test)
MAE0.081
6
Parameter PredictionLotka-Volterra ODE System
MAE0.049
6
ReconstructionDamped Spring System (test)
MAE0.013
6
ReconstructionAdvection-diffusion system
MAE0.01
6
State ReconstructionLotka Volterra
MAE0.036
6
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