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A Generative Model for Closed-Loop Microsimulation of Signalized Intersections

About

Traffic microsimulators rely on hand-crafted behavior models that reproduce aggregate flow but miss the heterogeneous interactions between vehicles at signalized intersections. Learned trajectory predictors capture richer interactions but are short-horizon and tend to be unstable when run in closed loop. We present Enactor, an actor-centric generative model for closed-loop intersection microsimulation. The model focuses on vehicles; pedestrians are included as context that can influence vehicle decisions but not predicted. Dynamic actors and lane polylines are encoded in polar coordinates referenced to the intersection center. A transformer with separate spatial and temporal attention blocks predicts a distribution over each actor's next-step motion ($s$, $\alpha$). Training uses a closed-loop curriculum so the model is exposed to its own predictions. We evaluate Enactor in two regimes. In a 4000-second simulation-in-the-loop test at two intersection geometries, Enactor controls every dynamic vehicle against a continuously refreshing actor set rather than the fixed cohort that learned trajectory predictors are usually evaluated against. It recovers the SUMO data generator's speed and travel-time distributions with KL divergence over an order of magnitude lower than a recent transformer baseline on travel time, and substantially lower on speed (roughly $5\times$ lower at Site 1), and reduces red-light violations relative to the same baseline by more than an order of magnitude. An ablation isolates the leader rear-bumper feature as the change with the largest effect on intersection-aware safety metrics. We also evaluate on real-world field data and apply the same architecture to naturalistic vehicle trajectories from a fish-eye camera at a signalized intersection and evaluate it on multi-horizon predictive tasks. Enactor outperforms a constant-velocity baseline at every horizon evaluated.

Yash Ranjan, Rahul Sengupta, Anand Rangarajan, Sanjay Ranka• 2026

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Trajectory PredictionReal-world data
FDE @ 2s (m)0.76
5
Trajectory PredictionReal-world Data (test)
Success Rate (1m @ 2s)78.04
5
Trajectory PredictionReal-world field data
ADE (2s)0.39
5
Traffic Safety Simulation EvaluationSecond Intersection Site 2 (Evaluation)
Red Light Violations1
3
Speed Distribution ModelingReal-world segment Second Intersection (held-out)
Mean Speed (m/s)2.35
3
Trajectory reconstructionSecond Intersection
NLL-7.17
2
Trajectory simulationSite 2 (Second Intersection)
Mean Time (s)33.38
2
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