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Counterfactual Estimation on Synthetic Data binary horizon 1
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0.655
Linear RMSE
TSC
0.6426
0.7263
0.81
0.8937
Feb 4, 2026
Linear RMSE
Hinge RMSE
Quadratic RMSE
Time-varying RMSE
Updated 4d ago
Evaluation Results
Method
Method
Links
Linear RMSE
Hinge RMSE
Quadratic RMSE
Time-varying RMSE
TSC
Prediction Horizon=1
2026.02
0.655
0.629
0.657
0.274
Augmented SCM
Prediction Horizon=1
2026.02
0.705
0.74
0.882
0.448
Classical SCM
Prediction Horizon=1
2026.02
0.844
0.96
0.794
0.369
Plug-in estimator
Prediction Horizon=1
2026.02
0.965
0.981
0.684
0.526
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