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Electrical Load Forecasting on ERCOT 2024-2025 (test)
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713
MAE (MW)
Physics-Informed Ensemble
445.92
2,248.71
4,051.5
5,854.29
Apr 26, 2026
MAE (MW)
RMSE (MW)
MAPE (%)
Accuracy (%)
Updated 1mo ago
Evaluation Results
Method
Method
Links
MAE (MW)
RMSE (MW)
MAPE (%)
Accuracy (%)
Physics-Informed Ensemble
2026.04
713
812
1.18
98.82
Transformer branch (PI)
Physics-Informed=true
2026.04
803
918
1.28
98.72
Weather-Informed Transformer
2026.04
892
992
1.41
98.59
CNN branch (PI)
Physics-Informed=true
2026.04
1,103
1,285
1.72
98.28
Weather-Informed LSTM
2026.04
1,402
1,490
2.2
97.8
Attention CNN–LSTM
2026.04
1,431
1,915
2.53
97.47
Linear Regression
2026.04
7,390
7,538
11.1
88.9
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