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Epidemic Forecasting on Colombia Dengue medium-term (test)
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37.06
SMAPE
LSTM
36.86
38.21
39.56
40.91
Mar 7, 2026
SMAPE
MAE
RMSE
MASE
RMSSE
Pinball Loss (Quantile 0.80)
Pinball Loss (Quantile 0.95)
Quantile Risk (0.50)
Quantile Risk (0.90)
CRPS
Winkler Score
Updated 1mo ago
Evaluation Results
Method
Method
Links
SMAPE
MAE
RMSE
MASE
RMSSE
Pinball Loss (Quantile 0.80)
Pinball Loss (Quantile 0.95)
Quantile Risk (0.50)
Quantile Risk (0.90)
CRPS
Winkler Score
LSTM
Model Type=Temporal Mo...
2026.03
37.06
13.1
31.16
1.78
2.05
9.32
10.7
26
40
13.1
-
MVEN
Model Type=ST-Engressi...
2026.03
39.14
16.35
43.26
2.22
2.84
7.89
5.39
32
26
12.69
218.35
LSTM
Model Category=Tempora...
2026.03
40.68
18.07
48.76
2.45
3.2
12.65
14.45
38
57
18.07
-
GCEN
Model Category=ST-Engr...
2026.03
42.06
18.48
49.43
2.5
3.24
11.15
9.93
38
44
15.88
412.48
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