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Epidemic Forecasting on Hungary Chickenpox 13-week horizon
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83.83
SMAPE
MVEN
83.7128
84.5039
85.295
86.0861
Mar 7, 2026
SMAPE
MAE
RMSE
MASE
RMSSE
Pinball Loss (Quantile 0.80)
Pinball Loss (Quantile 0.95)
Risk Score (Quantile 0.50)
Risk Score (Quantile 0.90)
CRPS
Winkler Score
Updated 1mo ago
Evaluation Results
Method
Method
Links
SMAPE
MAE
RMSE
MASE
RMSSE
Pinball Loss (Quantile 0.80)
Pinball Loss (Quantile 0.95)
Risk Score (Quantile 0.50)
Risk Score (Quantile 0.90)
CRPS
Winkler Score
MVEN
Model Category=ST-Engr...
2026.03
83.83
13.73
23.29
0.71
0.72
5.7
3.32
0.71
0.44
10.72
184.34
LSTM
Model Category=Tempora...
2026.03
86.76
12.97
23.03
0.67
0.73
6.78
6.92
0.66
0.69
12.97
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