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Epidemic Forecasting on Hungary Chickenpox medium-term (test)
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73.58
SMAPE
GCEN
73.486
74.1205
74.755
75.3895
Mar 7, 2026
SMAPE
MAE
RMSE
MASE
RMSSE
Pinball Loss (Quantile 0.80)
Pinball Loss (Quantile 0.95)
Risk Score (Quantile 0.50)
Risk Score (Quantile 0.90)
CRPS
Winkler Score
Updated 1mo ago
Evaluation Results
Method
Method
Links
SMAPE
MAE
RMSE
MASE
RMSSE
Pinball Loss (Quantile 0.80)
Pinball Loss (Quantile 0.95)
Risk Score (Quantile 0.50)
Risk Score (Quantile 0.90)
CRPS
Winkler Score
GCEN
Model Type=ST-Engressi...
2026.03
73.58
15.32
26.6
0.79
0.83
6.89
4.83
0.65
0.49
12.9
318.03
LSTM
Model Type=Temporal Mo...
2026.03
75.93
16.56
26.76
0.86
0.84
7.13
6.55
0.7
0.57
16.56
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