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Financial Forecasting on Exchange-rate 5 rolling-origin windows GPT-5.2 (test)
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4.214
Sharpe Ratio
TimesNet multivariate Student-T
-0.11656
1.00772
2.132
3.25628
Mar 31, 2026
Sharpe Ratio
RMSE
Updated 6d ago
Evaluation Results
Method
Method
Links
Sharpe Ratio
RMSE
TimesNet multivariate Student-T
LLM=GPT-5.2, variant=m...
2026.03
4.214
0.0121
PatchTST factor-first PCA(3) + reconstruct
LLM=GPT-5.2, component...
2026.03
2.78
0.0141
Transformer policy net (Sharpe loss)
LLM=GPT-5.2, loss_func...
2026.03
0.748
0.0163
Stacking ensemble (turnover-penalized)
LLM=GPT-5.2, regulariz...
2026.03
0.697
0.0185
TCN multivariate risk-parity
LLM=GPT-5.2, strategy=...
2026.03
0.395
0.0125
VAR(1)
type=baseline
2026.03
0.17
-
drift
type=baseline
2026.03
0.16
-
TSMixer global returns
LLM=GPT-5.2
2026.03
0.121
-
TFT cross-currency with lag covariates
LLM=GPT-5.2, features=...
2026.03
0.077
0.016
(22 experiments with negative Sharpe)
LLM=GPT-5.2
2026.03
0.05
0.011
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