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Grokking time prediction on Modular arithmetic (test)
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0.537
R^2
H˜-gap H˜ −H˜ ∗
-0.02148
0.12351
0.2685
0.41349
Apr 13, 2026
R^2
Correlation (ρ)
Updated 3d ago
Evaluation Results
Method
Method
Links
R^2
Correlation (ρ)
H˜-gap H˜ −H˜ ∗
Predictor x=H˜-gap H˜...
2026.04
0.537
0.73
Norm-gap ∥θ∥grok − ∥θ∥t
Predictor x=Norm-gap ∥...
2026.04
0.149
0.31
Random (baseline)
Predictor x=Random (ba...
2026.04
0
-
Absolute norm ∥θ∥t
Predictor x=Absolute n...
2026.04
0
-0.43
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