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One-step-ahead prediction on EMA (down item) (held-out last 12 beeps per participant)
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1.244
Mean Log-Likelihood
Group-only DTVEM
1.23256
1.23553
1.2385
1.24147
Jun 12, 2026
Mean Log-Likelihood
Total Log-Likelihood
RMSE
Updated 1mo ago
Evaluation Results
Method
Method
Links
Mean Log-Likelihood
Total Log-Likelihood
RMSE
Group-only DTVEM
2026.06
1.244
597.26
0.832
Hierarchical simple
baseline_style=mlVAR-s...
2026.06
1.238
594.25
0.827
Naive per-person
Implementation=Naive p...
2026.06
1.235
592.83
0.83
DTVEM-RE (full)
2026.06
1.233
591.81
0.827
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