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Regression of Treasury yield levels on FOMC Stance Scores 10Y Treasury Yield
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0.796
Beta
DCS
0.20424
0.35787
0.5115
0.66513
Mar 15, 2026
Beta
P-Value
Updated 1mo ago
Evaluation Results
Method
Method
Links
Beta
P-Value
DCS
Model=Llama-3.1-8B
2026.03
0.796
0.01
DCS
Model=DeepSeek-R1-14B
2026.03
0.782
0.01
Supervised
Model=FOMC-RoBERTa
2026.03
0.536
0.01
LLM Judge
Model=Llama-3.1-8B
2026.03
0.328
0.01
Logit-Based Judge
Model=Llama-3.1-8B
2026.03
0.299
0.012
Linear Probe
Model=Llama-3.1-8B
2026.03
0.227
0.067
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