Clinical trial outcome prediction

Benchmarks

Dataset Name	SOTA Method	Metric
N00694382 (set2)	SCARF	AUROC77.6	12	3mo ago
N00694382 (set1)	TransTab	AUROC74.7	12	3mo ago
N00079274 (ser2)	TransTab	AUROC71.1	12	3mo ago
N00079274 (ser1)	FT-Trans	AUROC69.2	12	3mo ago
N00312208 (set2)	TransTab	AUROC75.6	12	3mo ago
N00312208 (set1)	TransTab	AUROC0.73	12	3mo ago
N00174655 (set2)	XGBoost	AUROC88.6	12	3mo ago
N00174655 (set1)	TransTab	AUROC90.4	12	3mo ago
N00041119 (set2)	SCARF	AUROC65.7	12	3mo ago
N00041119 (set1)	TransTab	AUROC0.653	12	3mo ago
ClinicalTrials.gov (In-Distribution Seen Interventions)	BioBERT	Accuracy64.2	10	2mo ago
Clinical Trial Outcomes PharmaProjects	R2E-AUDIT	AUROC0.638	9	3mo ago
Clinical trial unseen interventions (test)	BioBERT (Hybrid)	Accuracy65.8	8	2mo ago
ClinicalTrials.gov (Phase 1, 2, 3)		ROC-AUC (Phase 2)0.88	7	3mo ago
Clinical Trials (Phase 2)		ROC AUC0.88	6	3mo ago
CTOD (Phase III)	MMCTOP	PR91.15	5	3mo ago
CTOD (Phase II)	MMCTOP	PR Score85.57	5	3mo ago
CTOD (Phase I)	MMCTOP	PR Score91.58	5	3mo ago
TOP (Phase III)	MMCTOP	Precision77.75	5	3mo ago
TOP (Phase II)	MMCTOP	PR Score68.22	5	3mo ago
TOP (Phase I)	MMCTOP	Precision86.88	5	3mo ago
Arm Perturbation	Qwen-3.5-9B Fine-Tuned	Macro F172.25	2	1mo ago
Outcome Perturbation	Qwen-3.5-9B Fine-Tuned	Macro F175.5	2	1mo ago
Clinical Trials various (Phase 3)		ROC AUC0.81	1	3mo ago

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