Posterior Inference

Benchmarks

Dataset Name	SOTA Method	Metric
Two Moons q_strong(theta)	ACE	RMSE0.09	6	1mo ago
PosteriorDB	SΠIS-MALA	earnings - earn_height0.0332	6	3mo ago
Synthetic Extrapolation Stress Test OOD d=32, N=512	AFIN+SNIS	SW-2 Distance0.0039	4	7d ago
Synthetic Extrapolation Stress Test N=512 (OOD N)	AFIN+SNIS	Sliced Wasserstein-2 Distance0.0013	4	7d ago
Synthetic Extrapolation Stress Test OOD d=32	NUTS	SW2 Distance0.012	4	7d ago
Out-of-distribution GMM prior (test)	annealed MCMC	Expected Distance (ED)0.1427	4	20d ago
BCI q_mixture(theta)	PriorGuide	RMSE0.87	3	1mo ago
BCI q_strong(theta)	PriorGuide	RMSE0.25	3	1mo ago
BCI q_mild(theta)	ACE	RMSE0.55	3	1mo ago
Gaussian Linear 20D q_mixture(theta)	ACE	RMSE0.2	3	1mo ago
Gaussian Linear 20D q_strong(theta)	ACE	RMSE0.1	3	1mo ago
Gaussian Linear 20D (q_mild(theta))	ACE	RMSE0.22	3	1mo ago
Gaussian Linear 10D q_mixture(theta)	ACE	RMSE0.19	3	1mo ago
Gaussian Linear 10D q_strong(theta)	ACE	RMSE0.1	3	1mo ago
Gaussian Linear 10D (q_mild(theta))	ACE	RMSE0.22	3	1mo ago
Turin q_mixture(theta)	PriorGuide	RMSE0.13	3	1mo ago
Turin q_strong(theta)	PriorGuide	RMSE0.06	3	1mo ago
Turin q_mild(theta)	PriorGuide	RMSE0.14	3	1mo ago
OUP q_mixture(theta)	PriorGuide	RMSE0.15	3	1mo ago
OUP q_mild(theta)	ACE	RMSE0.17	3	1mo ago
Two Moons q_mixture(theta)	ACE	RMSE0.16	3	1mo ago
Two Moons q_mild(theta)	ACE	RMSE0.34	3	1mo ago
Two Moons	Simformer	RMSE0.63	3	1mo ago
Inference Gym IRT Ns = 400	ALCS	ESS/K Ratio0.1	1	2mo ago
Inference Gym SV SP500 (T = 100)	ALCS	Delta0.32	1	2mo ago

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