| Dataset Name | SOTA Method | Metric | Trend | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| traffic | TSDiff-Q | CRPS0.049 | 48 | 4mo ago | |
| electricity | DDPM | CRPS0.026 | 48 | 3mo ago | |
| ECL | vLinear | Q-Risk0.2169 | 40 | 4mo ago | |
| Traffic | vLinear | Q-Risk0.2542 | 40 | 4mo ago | |
| ETTh1 | vLinear | Q-Risk0.2672 | 40 | 4mo ago | |
| ETTm1 | Q-Risk0.0596 | 40 | 4mo ago | ||
| Metaculus and Polymarket (test) | Brier Score0.061 | 30 | 1mo ago | ||
| wiki | CRPS0.214 | 25 | 3mo ago | ||
| solar | TFT | CRPS0.007 | 22 | 4mo ago | |
| Shenzhen (Step 6) | QS3.9787 | 20 | 25d ago | ||
| ETT Avg ProbTS | Sundial | CRPS0.231 | 20 | 4mo ago | |
| DGP-known simulations Regime D | CRPS | Rank1 | 13 | 1mo ago | |
| DGP-known simulations (Regime C) | CRPS | Rank1 | 13 | 1mo ago | |
| DGP-known simulations (Regime B) | CRPS | Rank1 | 13 | 1mo ago | |
| DGP-known simulations Regime A | CRPS | Rank1 | 13 | 1mo ago | |
| ETTm2 | CRPS0.049 | 13 | 2mo ago | ||
| taxi | EnTransformer | CRPS0.119 | 13 | 3mo ago | |
| Exchange | Dlinear + ProbRes | CRPS0.01 | 12 | 1mo ago | |
| Electricity | Dlinear + ProbRes | CRPS0.054 | 12 | 1mo ago | |
| ETTh2 | DeepAR | CRPS0.082 | 12 | 2mo ago | |
| Weather (test) | DeRegiME | CRPS0.11 | 12 | 2mo ago | |
| Illness (test) | Quantile | CRPS0.87 | 12 | 2mo ago | |
| Nasdaq (test) | Quantile | CRPS0.331 | 12 | 2mo ago | |
| Exchange (test) | DeRegiME | CRPS0.082 | 12 | 2mo ago | |
| ETTm2 (test) | DeRegiME | CRPS0.138 | 12 | 2mo ago |
