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Forecasting on Polymarket official (test)

64.99Score

Ours (GPT-5.4-medium)

Updated 1mo ago

Evaluation Results

Method	Links
Ours (GPT-5.4-medium) 2026.06		64.99
GPT-5.4-med-SC@5 2026.06		62.26
GPT-5.4-med-SC@3 2026.06		60.99
GLM-5 w/ tools 2026.06		59.24
GPT-5.4-medium w/ tools 2026.06		58.63
Gemini-3.1-Pro w/ tools 2026.06		58.45
Kimi-K2.5 w/ tools 2026.06		57.91
GPT-5.4-medium 2026.06		53.76
Claude-4.6-Sonnet w/ tools 2026.06		48.21
DeepSeek-V4-Flash w/ tools 2026.06		48.12
Claude-4.6-Sonnet 2026.06		47.97
Gemini-3.1-Pro 2026.06		43.38
Kimi-K2.5 2026.06		42.88
GLM-5 2026.06		41.18
DeepSeek-V4-Flash 2026.06		34.79