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Online Conformal Prediction on Electricity Demand
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95
Marginal Coverage
SFOGD
92.608
93.229
93.85
94.471
Feb 3, 2026
Marginal Coverage
Longest Error Sequence
Average Set Size
Median Set Size
Set Size (75% Quantile)
Set Size (90% Quantile)
Set Size (95% Quantile)
Updated 4d ago
Evaluation Results
Method
Method
Links
Marginal Coverage
Longest Error Sequence
Average Set Size
Median Set Size
Set Size (75% Quantile)
Set Size (90% Quantile)
Set Size (95% Quantile)
SFOGD
lr=1
2026.02
95
2
0.561
0.552
0.664
0.772
0.862
P Ctrl
lr=0.5
2026.02
95
1
0.528
0.524
0.637
0.742
0.806
PI Ctrl
lr=0.5
2026.02
95
2
0.533
0.525
0.65
0.748
0.821
DtACI
2026.02
93.9
6
-
0.53
0.563
0.619
0.671
UP
2026.02
93.3
3
0.507
0.487
0.593
0.715
0.793
KT
2026.02
92.7
7
0.518
0.506
0.572
0.635
0.664
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