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Temperature Forecasting on ERA5 (test) (1d-10d Lead Times)

0.407RMSE (1d)

GraphCast

Updated 1mo ago

Evaluation Results

Method	Links
GraphCast 2026.01		0.407	0.605	0.839	1.13	1.46	1.82	2.18	2.53	2.83	3.11
PARADIS 2026.01		0.41	0.605	0.834	1.11	1.44	1.8	2.17	2.52	2.84	3.11
PARADIS AMSE 2026.01		0.426	0.639	0.89	1.19	1.56	1.95	2.35	2.74	3.06	3.35
Pangu 2026.01		0.462	0.654	0.904	1.21	1.58	1.96	2.34	2.73	3.05	3.33
HRES 2026.01		0.476	0.729	1.01	1.33	1.7	2.08	2.48	2.84	3.15	3.4
PARADIS 2026.01		0.543	0.715	0.892	1.1	1.37	1.66	1.96	2.24	2.5	2.71
GraphCast 2026.01		0.556	0.718	0.893	1.11	1.38	1.67	1.98	2.28	2.55	2.77
GraphCast 2026.01		0.566	0.776	0.997	1.27	1.61	1.99	2.37	2.75	3.1	3.38
PARADIS AMSE 2026.01		0.574	0.764	0.957	1.18	1.47	1.77	2.09	2.39	2.64	2.85
PARADIS 2026.01		0.579	0.786	0.999	1.26	1.59	1.96	2.35	2.71	3.05	3.33
PARADIS AMSE 2026.01		0.603	0.822	1.05	1.33	1.68	2.08	2.49	2.87	3.22	3.5
Pangu 2026.01		0.643	0.815	1.01	1.25	1.53	1.84	2.16	2.45	2.71	2.93
Pangu 2026.01		0.678	0.88	1.11	1.41	1.76	2.16	2.56	2.94	3.29	3.59
HRES 2026.01		0.682	0.903	1.1	1.33	1.61	1.92	2.22	2.52	2.76	2.96
HRES 2026.01		0.737	1.03	1.29	1.59	1.93	2.32	2.72	3.1	3.43	3.7