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Benchmarks
Time Series Forecasting on M5 Competition State Level
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0.58
M5 Daily (Basic) RMSSE
ApolloPFN
0.56944
0.64072
0.712
0.78328
Mar 16, 2026
M5 Daily (Basic) RMSSE
M5 Weekly (Basic) RMSSE
M5 Monthly (Basic) RMSSE
M5 Daily (State) RMSSE
M5 Weekly (State) RMSSE
M5 Monthly (State) RMSSE
Updated 1mo ago
Evaluation Results
Method
Method
Links
M5 Daily (Basic) RMSSE
M5 Weekly (Basic) RMSSE
M5 Monthly (Basic) RMSSE
M5 Daily (State) RMSSE
M5 Weekly (State) RMSSE
M5 Monthly (State) RMSSE
ApolloPFN
Forecaster Type=Zero-s...
2026.03
0.58
1.652
2.191
0.973
1.561
2.588
TabPFN-TS
Forecaster Type=Zero-s...
2026.03
0.608
1.253
2.58
1.006
1.666
2.636
Chronos-Large
Forecaster Type=Zero-s...
2026.03
0.655
1.237
2.484
1.007
1.847
2.788
Sundial-Base
Forecaster Type=Zero-s...
2026.03
0.72
2.01
2.405
0.933
1.649
2.841
Moirai-Large
Forecaster Type=Expose...
2026.03
0.844
1.669
3.546
0.992
1.71
2.882
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