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SOTA Probability Forecasting benchmarks and papers with code | Wizwand
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Probability Forecasting
Benchmarks
Dataset Name
SOTA Method
Dataset Name
SOTA Method
Metric
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Results
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Polymarket 30% held-out evaluation cliques
hierarchical JCD
Brier Score
0.1409
20
1mo ago
Paleka + Polymarket partition slice N=2412 (combined)
meta_llama-3.3-70b-versatile
B2 Score
0.2485
4
1mo ago
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