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Risk Prediction

Benchmarks

Dataset Name	SOTA Method	Metric
Apollo Simulator Safety Properties Evaluation Scenarios	ProbGuard	Average Advance Warning Time (s)38.66	42	3mo ago
TCGA-BRCA patient-level 5-fold CV	HERO	C-index0.735	12	1mo ago
M3TAVR (test)	R-CGA + InternVL3.5-8B	AUROC89.6	11	1mo ago
Chicago (test)	CMuST	MAE1.1172	11	5mo ago
DeepAccident (val)	SafeAlign-VLA	Accuracy85.8	6	2mo ago
DeepAccident CCoT (val)	C-CoT	Accuracy85.8	6	2mo ago
ICAT 1.0 (test)		Home E[ηinit]72	6	3mo ago
Predictive maintenance dataset (temporal splits 2 to 9)	Canonical (RC)	Mean Log-Loss0.155	4	2mo ago
DAPO-17K	DiPO	Accuracy78.37	3	3mo ago
UK Biobank Chronic kidney disease (N18–N19)		C-index0.861	3	3mo ago
UK Biobank Pleural effusion (J90)		C-index0.766	3	3mo ago
UK Biobank Ischaemic heart disease (I20–I25)		C-index0.707	3	3mo ago
UK Biobank Hypertensive diseases (I10–I15)	Nonprivate-MD	C-index0.716	3	3mo ago
UK Biobank Stroke (I60–I69)	DP-MD	C-index0.789	3	3mo ago
UK Biobank Electrolyte acid-base disorders (E87)	Nonprivate-MD	C-index0.765	3	3mo ago
UK Biobank Acute kidney injury (N17)	DP-MD	C-index0.821	3	3mo ago
UK Biobank Cholelithiasis (K80)	DP-MD	C-index0.626	3	3mo ago
UK Biobank Pneumonia (J12–J18)	Nonprivate-MD	C-index0.75	3	3mo ago
UK Biobank Fatty liver other liver disease (K76)	DP-MD	C-index0.685	3	3mo ago
UK Biobank Glomerular diseases (N00–N08)	Nonprivate-MD	C-index0.96	3	3mo ago
UK Biobank Acute lower respiratory infection (J20–J22)	Nonprivate-MD	C-index0.649	3	3mo ago
UK Biobank Sepsis (A41)	Nonprivate-MD	C-index0.679	3	3mo ago
UK Biobank Urolithiasis renal colic (N20–N23)	DP-MD	C-index0.722	3	3mo ago
UK Biobank Volume depletion (E86)	DP-MD	C-index0.799	3	3mo ago
UK Biobank Other metabolic disorders (E88)	DP-MD	C-index0.751	3	3mo ago

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